A month ago, I wrote the Democrats would do anything to prevent the Republicans from using the nuclear option, and so too would the Republican Party leadership. See President Trump, Neil Gorsuch and the Nuclear Option That Won’t Happen–JohnHively.Wordpress.com. Right now, it takes sixty votes to pass anything through the senate, otherwise the opposition will filibuster whatever it is. However, the senate can vote to end the filibuster, which means a simple majority vote is all it will take to pass anything through the senate, such as legislation or Neil Gorsuch’s nomination to be the next US Supreme Court justice.
Politico now reports the Democrats are negotiating with Republicans to allow Gorsuch to become the next Supreme Court Justice in exchange for not eliminating the nuclear option on a future US supreme court nominee. See Democrats Weigh In On Deal–Politico.com.
This would allow Gorsuch to become a US Supreme Court justice on a simple party line up and down vote. Forty-eight Democrats will vote against him, and fifty-two Republicans will vote for him, and the deal will be done.
Quite naturally, the corporate media will not mention the last thing the Republican leadership wants to do is use the nuclear option, just like the corporate wing of the Democratic Party doesn’t want to use it.
If the Republicans use the nuclear option for Gorsuch’s nomination, the Republican grassroots would then insist the Republican Party leadership use the nuclear option to pass anti-abortion legislation, thereby ending the Republican leadership’s best wedge issue uniting the billionaire corporate wing of the party with middle and working class evangelical Christians, many of whom might then decide to vote on bread and butter issues during the next presidential race with such progressive Democrats as Bernie Sanders and Elizabeth Warren. No, the billionaires don’t want that.
With control of the US house, senate and presidency, this is a golden opportunity for the Republican leadership to pass strong anti-abortion legislation, if they really wanted to, and no, they don’t want to. The Democrats couldn’t stop them if they tried to, provided an old fashioned up and down vote can take place in the senate. That won’t happen.
The other billionaires who control the Democratic Party don’t want to use the nuclear option as well, and for simple financial reasons. One day the Democrats will have control of all three branches of the US government, and the Democratic grassroots will want the Party to pass stronger labor union legislation, a higher minimum wage, renegotiate the trade treaties that allow the billionaires to export US jobs so they cannot do so (Grassroots Republicans also want that), pass a single payer health care bill, and on and on. None of these, of course, would be in the interests of the billionaires who control both parties.
The Republican and Democratic grassroots are being played by the billionaires and their politicians in high places. We’ve been played for decades. The nuclear option has not been used precisely because doing so would end the legislative gridlock that has stopped the above issues from being determined. The billionaires win with gridlock, and all at the expense of the rest of us. The rest of us win when the nuclear option is used.
So expect a deal will be made between the Democrats and the Republicans that will allow Neil Gorush to become the next US Supreme Court Justice without the use of the dreaded nuclear option. Of course, it’s the billionaires who dread it.