There are 10 states to go in the Democratic Primary. Bernie Sanders needs to win 65 percent of the vote the rest of the way in order to win, and that is plausible considering all of these states will likely vote for him, several of them overwhelmingly.
In the latest poll, Bernie is slightly behind the Wall Street candidate in Indiana 50-46. That suggests Sanders will win the state. Typically, if he’s behind by five points the day before an election, he wins by two or more because more and more people like his message, and Bernie voters turn out in higher numbers for their candidate than the voters who turn out for his opponent, the Wall Street candidate.
After that, Bernie will likely win most of the states by wide margins, except for New Jersey and California. Those two states are critical. Bernie can likely take California with 57 to 62 percent of the vote, but that doesn’t mean he will. But if he can, he’ll be in a hell of a position to take the nomination.
The last New Jersey poll showed Clinton up by nine points, but that was nearly a month ago. Bernie likely has made up lost ground since then. In Oregon, Bernie was up by 15 points in the last poll I saw.
Washington held its official delegate awarding caucuses yesterday, May 1. Bernie won over 70 percent of the vote, and took 25 delegates, to 9 for the Wall Street candidate. Hillary Clinton led Sanders by 310 pledged delegates before then, and now that advantage is reduced to 294. The corporate media decided not to report this result to keep you ignorant.
Take a look at California. There are 475 pledged delegates up for grabs. If Bernie wins 60 percent of the vote there, he’ll take 285 delegates to 190 for Clinton. One state will reduce Wall Street’s candidate’s lead by 95 pledged delegates, meaning she’ll be up by 199. His winning margin could be even greater.
Significant and sizable wins by Bernie elsewhere can completely eliminate Wall Street’s lead in this race. It ain’t over, not yet, but the Democratic Wall Street Party Leadership, and the corporate news media, want you to believe it’s over. It’s not, because the rest of this race is taking place in Bernie country.